Chart Geek: Weeklist #9 Predictions

As reported last Saturday, Elle King has successfully dethroned Ellie Goulding's 6-week reign at the top of the charts. What does this week have in store for us? Let us sort through the facts and the figures to find out.

Note: The Electrique Music Weeklist compiles points from personal votes, the US Billboard Hot 100, the UK Official Charts Company, as well as some randomly generated votes.

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Elle King's throne is threatened by Adele and Alessia Cara.

Elle King seems to be well-entrenched to have her second week at the top as "Ex's & Oh's" points appear to be secure despite the lack of strong support from the UK. Currently, the song is at the lower half of the UK charts (it debuted the week before last) and is unlikely to gain more votes any time soon.

Ranks 2, 3, and 4 are much less stable since Alessia Cara's "Here," Adele's "Hello," and Ellie Goulding's "On My Mind," are still viable contenders. At the moment, "Here" is on the lead but Adele will most likely overcome the other two songs since "Hello," despite being on the decline,  is still gaining formidable points from both the US and the UK charts. "Here" has recently appeared on the UK charts and is on its way up so we're expecting the UK points to give it longevity on the upper reaches of the weeklist, Plus, "Here" has also just reached its highest peak in the US. Like Adele's song, Alessia still has a shot of recapturing that #1 slot, given its unexpected resurgence in the US charts. Meanwhile, "On My Mind" is falling everywhere and is sure to be on its way down.

Gwen Stefani's "Used To Love You," is now finally estimated to have reached #5 after being stuck at #6 for 4 weeks. Despite being a personal favorite and Gwen's relentless promotion of the song, it has been receiving stale support from the US and as a result, has had trouble getting any higher in the weeklist. Its fate in the weeklist is uncertain and will be influenced by how fast the other songs on top of it are falling, and how fast the songs below it are gaining.

Gwen Stefani's "Used To Love You" finally breaks into the Top 5,
but its future is uncertain.

One Direction's "Perfect" has finally fallen out of the Top 5 and it could have easily fallen further to #6 since Justin Bieber's "Love Yourself" is breathing down its neck. "Love Yourself" was #1 in the UK last week and is expected to still be there or at #2 in their charts. Bieber also seems set to rule the US charts soon so it will most likely rise in the coming weeks and may even reach the top spot by February.

Jess Glynne is expected to hold steady at #8, and Twenty One Pilots "Stressed Out" is stuck at #9. The latter song is gaining popularity in the US so it will most likely break into the Top 5 in a few weeks. Next, we have Taylor Swift's "Out of the Woods" finally making a crack into the Top 10. The song surprisingly fell in the US charts and is not gaining as much support as her previous single "Wildest Dreams" had so we'll have to wait and see how high it can achieve based on personal votes alone.

Below the Top 10, Daya is secure at #11 with "Hide Away." Major Lazer's "Light It Up" is currently locked at #12 but this could easily be toppled by this week's highest new entry, "The Sound" by The 1975. Tori Kelly's "Hollow" will either end up at #12 or #13, depending on how successful "The Sound" is in the UK charts.

Positions 15 to 18 are a toss-up between Selena Gomez' "Same Old Love," Demi Lovato's "Confident," and new entries by Ellie Goulding ("Something In The Way You Move"), and DNCE ("Cake By The Ocean".) Demi is definitely on her way out of the charts, while Selena will probably have a longer staying power due to her song's success in the US.

The 1975 and DNCE are expected to debut this week.

The last two spots in the Weeklist are going to be fought for by five acts: Carly Rae Jepsen, Tame Impala, Fall Out Boy, Kelly Clarkson, and Coldplay. Of these acts, only Coldplay is in the UK charts and is still doing well, so it will most likely snag a spot. Carly, Tame Impala, and Kelly are getting no support at all from the US and the UK so their shelf lives are probably at their ends. Fall Out Boy's "Irresistible" had been hanging around beyond the top 20 for a couple of weeks now and whether it enters the chart or not will depend on its US votes, which are neither steady nor stellar at the moment.